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Bitcoin Price Prediction: 12-Year Trend Shattered Has Broken – Is “Quantum Computing” Secretly Killing Bitcoin?

18.02.2026
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Bitcoin price just did something it hasn’t done in 12 years. It broke its long-term trend against gold.

That line held through bull markets, crashes, bans, ETFs, everything. Now it is gone. And some analysts are not calling it random noise. They are pointing at something much bigger. Quantum computing.

On-chain analyst Willy Woo argues that the breakdown aligns with rising awareness of quantum risk. The concern is simple but heavy.

Bitcoin relies on ECDSA cryptography. In theory, a powerful enough quantum computer running the Shor algorithm could derive private keys from public ones. Not today. But possibly within 5 to 15 years.

Bitcoin vs Gold trend line break chart
Source: The 12-year trend line of Bitcoin priced in Gold has broken to the downside

Fund manager Justin Bons says the market may be rational in starting to price that risk early. Roughly 4 million older or lost BTC could be vulnerable in a quantum scenario. If those coins were suddenly accessible, that would constitute a supply shock that no current valuation model properly accounts for.

That narrative is creeping into price. Not just macro. Not just ETF flows. A structural tech risk.

Price reflects that uncertainty. Bitcoin is sitting near $68,000 and struggling to build momentum. Support around $66,500 remains critical. A failure there opens the door to deeper downside, with some analysts watching the $55,000 region.

Developers are discussing quantum-resistant upgrades, but no clear roadmap has been finalized. Until the network standardizes a solution, this narrative adds a ceiling over long-term valuation.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Price is Feeling The Doubts Now

Zoom into the chart, and you can actually see that hesitation.

After the sharp drop inside that descending channel, Bitcoin price was based around $60K–$64K and then carved a higher low.

That is important. It shows buyers are defending that red demand zone. Since then, price has been grinding sideways under the $70K–$71K supply band. That area is the gatekeeper. Flip it, and $80K opens up quickly, with $90K and even $98K sitting above as clean air targets.

Source: BTCUSD / TradingView

Lose $64K, though, and the structure weakens fast. Below that, $60K is the last major support before things get uncomfortable.

Now layer in the quantum narrative. The break in the 12-year BTC/gold trend adds a psychological ceiling. It explains why price is not exploding higher even after heavy short positioning and extreme funding. The market is cautious. Not panicking, but cautious.

If Bitcoin Faces a Tech Ceiling, Bitcoin Hyper Builds a New Layer

Bitcoin is still grinding under heavy resistance. It needs strong conviction to move. And conviction is fragile when narratives turn cautious.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is not waiting for macro clarity or long-term debates to resolve.

This Bitcoin-focused Layer-2, powered by Solana technology, delivers speed, lower fees, and real on-chain utility while preserving Bitcoin core security. It maintains brand power while removing the limitations that slow capital.

And traction is already building. The Bitcoin Hyper presale has raised over $31 million so far, with $HYPER priced at $0.0136751 before the next increase. Staking rewards currently reach up to 37%.

Bitcoin Hyper is positioned to capture momentum in the meantime.

Visit the Official Bitcoin Hyper Website Here

The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: 12-Year Trend Shattered Has Broken – Is “Quantum Computing” Secretly Killing Bitcoin? appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoMediaClub is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoMediaClub on whether to sell, buy or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk.
CryptoMediaClub covers fintech, blockchain and Bitcoin bringing you the latest crypto news and analyses on the future of money.

© 2023 Crypto News. All Rights Reserved

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