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Ethereum Price Prediction: Ethereum Is One Month Away From a Rare Capitulation Record – Bounce or Breakdown?

02.03.2026
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Ethereum is on the edge of a rare losing streak that is fueling bearish price prediction. The asset is threatening a seventh straight monthly decline after slipping below the key $2,000 psychological level. Although price briefly bounced back above $2,010, the recovery looks fragile.

On-chain data suggests large holders are distributing into strength, while macro pressure continues to build.

Key Takeaways:

  • ETH risks a seventh straight red month, a rare capitulation signal in crypto market history.
  • Wallets holding 100k-1M ETH have aggressively reduced reserves over the last 90 days.
  • RSI oversold signals at 37 suggest a potential relief bounce to $2,200.
  • Support at $1,800 remains the critical line in the sand for bulls.

Ethereum Price Prediction: Whales Signal ‘Risk-Off’ Shift

On-chain data shows a clear shift among whales with addresses holding between 100,000 and 1,000,000 ETH have reduced reserves over the past 90 days, and this is happening outside exchanges. That suggests real de-risking, instead of short-term trading prep.

Source: Alpharactal

Macro pressure is not helping. Sticky inflation has cooled institutional appetite for risk, and Ethereum has been one of the hardest-hit majors. If distribution continues, $1,800 becomes the key downside level to watch.

That said, the correction appears macro-driven rather than tied to collapsing network fundamentals.

Daily RSI sits near 43, historically a zone where relief rallies can form. Funding rates have normalized, and open interest has dropped, reducing leverage risk.

Source: ETHUSD / TradingView

If $1,840 holds and ETH reclaims $2,140, momentum could shift back toward $2,200 and potentially higher. For now, whales are trimming exposure, but the setup is approaching a short-term inflection point.

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The post Ethereum Price Prediction: Ethereum Is One Month Away From a Rare Capitulation Record – Bounce or Breakdown? appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoMediaClub is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoMediaClub on whether to sell, buy or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk.
CryptoMediaClub covers fintech, blockchain and Bitcoin bringing you the latest crypto news and analyses on the future of money.

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