Bitcoin Price Forecast: QCP Capital Sees Risk Assets Rising Amid Global Stimulus Surge

QCP Capital’s latest market analysis highlights several key factors driving the resurgence of Bitcoin price and other risk assets.

The report attributes much of the positive momentum to proactive measures taken by central banks and recent political shifts.

Beijing’s commitment to bolstering global economic stability has injected optimism into the market, while the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts have further boosted investor sentiment across traditional and cryptocurrency markets.

Meanwhile, political developments in Japan, including forecasts of Ishiba’s appointment as Prime Minister, have reinforced expectations of continued aggressive monetary policies from the Bank of Japan.

In the U.S., inflation readings came in slightly below forecasts, reinforcing the case for further rate reductions. As a result, Bitcoin ETFs saw inflows of $494 million last week alone.

This influx of capital into Bitcoin can be attributed to central banks’ easing policies, creating a favorable environment for increased liquidity and renewed investor confidence in cryptocurrencies.

SEC Charges Mango Markets for Selling Unregistered Crypto Tokens; Impact on Bitcoin Price

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has accused Mango Markets, a cryptocurrency trading platform, of selling unregistered digital asset tokens deemed to be securities.

The SEC also reached a settlement with Mango Labs and Blockworks Foundation for failing to register as brokers.

This follows a previous conviction for commodities fraud involving a trader who manipulated Mango Markets, stealing $110 million from the platform.

• The SEC’s actions signal continued regulatory pressure on digital assets.
• The case underscores the need for clearer laws around cryptocurrencies.
• Increased scrutiny could prompt the market to stabilize over the long term.

Binance Founder Changpeng Zhao Released After Serving 4-Month Sentence

Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, founder of Binance, has been released from U.S. federal prison after serving a four-month sentence for violating the Bank Secrecy Act and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) laws.

Zhao paid a $50 million fine and pleaded guilty to neglecting AML controls at Binance. The company also settled related penalties totalling $4.3 billion.

• CZ resigned as Binance’s CEO but retains a significant stake in the company.
• His release may ease concerns about Binance’s regulatory issues.
• This could improve investor confidence and reduce legal uncertainties in the crypto market.

Bitcoin Price Outlook —September 29

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has hit a key technical support at $65,560, completing a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.

A break below this level could trigger additional selling pressure, with immediate support seen at $65,010. The next support lies at $64,570, followed by a deeper level at $64,120.

On the upside, immediate resistance is at $66,440, with further levels at $66,870 and $67,030.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 64.14, indicating buying momentum, while the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $64,700 suggests a bullish outlook.

Key Insights:

• 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement: Completed at $65,560. A break below signals potential downside.
• Support Levels: $65,010 and $64,570 are key levels to watch.
• Bullish Bias: RSI in the buying zone and support from 50-day EMA suggest upside potential if $65,560 holds.

Overall, Bitcoin’s technical indicators suggest a cautiously bullish outlook, with the potential for further gains if it maintains above $65,560.

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