Cardano (ADA) bulls are desperately trying to carry onto the important thing 200DMA degree on Friday on the finish of what has been a tough week for threat property.
The Cardano value was final round $0.63, hovering slightly below the 200DMA at $0.66, with the worth having come near testing early February lows at $0.55 earlier within the session.

It’s been a tough week for threat property, with commerce battle fears rocking the market and cash flowing into “protected” property like USD and US bonds on rising worries about US financial weak spot.
And that hit crypto markets significantly exhausting, sending Bitcoin (BTC) tumbling at one level again beneath $80,000 and Cardano for from round $0.80 to its present ranges.
However the crypto hasn’t convincingly damaged beneath its 200DMA simply but, giving the bulls hope {that a} rebound might quickly come.
The latest sell-off plus enchancment in international liquidity circumstances suggests dangers are titling in direction of a crypto market rebound within the weeks forward from right here.
Nevertheless, ADA stays caught in a downtrend till confirmed in any other case. And if the approaching months are going to reflect mid-2024, simply as latest months mirrored late-2023/early 2024, then Cardano may very well be about to lose its grip on its 200DMA for fairly some time.
Assuming the broader crypto bull market is on pause proper now amid elevated financial uncertainties, and till recent catalysts arrive, it might be no shock to see ADA decline all the way in which again to the $0.40s.
Nevertheless, fairly than this marking the beginning of a brand new lengthy bear market, the longer-term outlook for ADA continues to look good. Right here’s why.
Cardano’s Lengthy-Time period Outlook Stays Robust – Right here’s Why
Macro and broader market circumstances might simply weigh on ADA within the coming months.
Nevertheless, within the background, quite a lot of bullish issues are occurring within the US that would arrange the crypto trade and markets for a lot of good years forward.
Firstly, the SEC, beneath its new management, has reversed its battle towards the crypto trade, notably dropping its declare that Cardano is a safety.
The SEC not claims that ADA is a safety. pic.twitter.com/vmFdMBegWs
— Cardano YOD₳ (@JaromirTesar) February 28, 2025
The crypto ecosystem is now free to develop within the US with out the fixed concern of SEC assault, and this could profit all main layer-1 chains in the long term, Cardano included.
There additionally stays an outdoor likelihood that Cardano is included in some type of future US digital property stockpile.
And even when it isn’t, and the stockpile solely consists of Bitcoin, that will nonetheless elevate your complete crypto market. This may very well be a significant theme later in 2024.
Cardano may be one of some main altcoins to safe a spot ETF within the USA this 12 months, alongside doubtlessly the likes of Litecoin, Solana, XRP and Dogecoin.
However maybe the most important wild card for Cardano in 2025 is the likelihood that the US treasury picks it as a the general public blockchain to run authorities transactions on.
Cardano is a perfect candidate for enhancing the effectivity of the US authorities. For this use case, 100% uptime and excessive decentralization are important. pic.twitter.com/UYs1pQHxmI
— Cardano YOD₳ (@JaromirTesar) February 15, 2025
That is pure hypothesis proper now. However there is likely to be some legs to those rumors, with Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson teasing earlier this month about an essential upcoming assembly with a VIP within the White Home.
Charles Hoskinson to fulfill with Elon Musk and David Sacks?
pic.twitter.com/bSpbTsv5Ow
— TapTools (@TapTools) February 10, 2025
Per reviews on X, the assembly may very well be set to happen on March 1st.
Charles Hoskinson to fulfill with a “Particular Particular person” tomorrow? (March 1st) pic.twitter.com/pkVeA43f8U
— Investing Broz (@InvestingBroz) February 28, 2025
In fact, its extremely unlikely that the US authorities finally ends up adopting Cardano as its public ledger for transactions.
But when this story positive aspects any traction, ADA’s latest bearish run may very well be about to finish abruptly.
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